Despite the high number of storms that year, no hurricanes and only one tropical storm made landfall in the U.S. On the other hand, the 2010 Atlantic season was very active, with 19 named storms and 12 hurricanes. The Category 3 hurricane hit the Houston-Galveston area and caused almost as many direct fatalities there (21) as Andrew did in South Florida (26). In 1983, there were only four named storms, but one of them was Alicia. However, one of those named storms was Hurricane Andrew, which devastated South Florida as a Category 5 hurricane. The 1992 season produced only six named storms and one subtropical storm. Some past hurricane seasons have been inactive but included at least one notable landfall. One or more of the named storms predicted to develop this season could hit the U.S., or none at all. That's well above the average of one to two hurricane landfalls each season, according to NOAA's Hurricane Research Division.ĭespite the record 2020 season, there isn't necessarily a strong correlation between the number of storms or hurricanes and U.S. The warmth also isn't nearly the magnitude we saw a year ago. However, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles have cooled over the last few months and are closer to or slightly cooler than average. ![]() Sea-surface temperatures in much of the Gulf of Mexico are close to average. The Atlantic Basin's waters are currently warmer than average in the subtropics near Bermuda and off parts of the East Coast. One of the ingredients that meteorologists analyze going into the hurricane season is the water temperature of the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico. Here are some questions and answers about what these outlooks mean. The Weather Company's latest forecast is similar to the July outlook issued by Colorado State University and NOAA's May outlook. (MORE: 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Names )Ī record 30 named storms formed in the 2020 hurricane season, 14 of which became hurricanes. Todd Crawford, director of meteorology at Atmospheric G2, notes that it is "exceedingly rare to get more than three major hurricanes with sean surface temperatures in the tropics as cool as they are currently." Sea surface temperatures in much of the Atlantic have cooled recently and are notably cooler than last year, so a repeat of 2020 is not anticipated.ĭr. "So, yeah, it was good for us to be able to work on some of those past disasters and get them working towards closing out.Current 2021 hurricane season outlooks from The Weather Company, Colorado State University and NOAA compared to a 1991-2020 average season.įorecasters examine number of climate factors for the outlook, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Basin.ĮNSO conditions are expected to be either neutral (neither El Niño nor La Niña) or trend toward La Niña, which means El Niño likely won't be present to suppress hurricane activity. We're still working Hurricane Irma, Matthew, Hermine, Dorian and so on," said Kevin Guthrie, director of the state Division of Emergency Management. This allowed emergency staff in Florida to continue to address the impacts from past storms. Relative to the active season, the impacts from this season could be considered minimal to none. Elsa and Fred, both tropical storms while near South Florida, were mostly rain makers and gave the area brief tropical-storm force winds. Of the 21 named storms, it was only two that impacted South Florida. ![]() Elsa and Fred were the only 2 storms to threaten South Florida. Unlike 2020, however, it looks like Wanda will be the final named storm of the season with no activity expected for the final week of the season. It's the second year in a row that the season exhausted the list of storm names. ![]() Miami (CBSMiami) – Dissipating in early November, tropical storm Wanda marked the 21st named storm of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season.
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